BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//132.216.98.100//NONSGML kigkonsult.se iCalcreator 2.20.4// BEGIN:VEVENT UID:20250917T111027EDT-0752DIVsfO@132.216.98.100 DTSTAMP:20250917T151027Z DESCRIPTION:Title: Optimality of Glauber dynamics for general-purpose sampl ing: the view from statistics.\n\nAbstract: Glauber dynamics is a simple\, powerful\, and widely-studied Markov chain Monte Carlo method for samplin g from the Gibbs measures of spin systems. A tantalizing sequence of recen t results showed that Glauber dynamics mixes rapidly for Ising models prov ided only that the eigenvalues of the coupling matrix are confined to a sm all enough interval: under a suitable normalization\, one of length 1. In particular\, these results yielded a breakthrough on the analysis of Glaub er dynamics for densely coupled disordered systems like the Sherrington-Ki rkpatrick spin glass model.\n \n I will present evidence that Glauber dynami cs is optimal for this kind of 'general-purpose' sampling task\, namely\, that no other polynomial-time algorithm can make a similar guarantee while improving on the constant 1. The proof\, perhaps surprisingly\, will proc eed indirectly by relating this question to a system of conjectures in com putational statistics: I will first argue that an improved sampler could s olve a certain hypothesis testing task of detecting unusual vectors 'quiet ly planted' in random subspaces. I will then present evidence\, based on t he analysis of algorithms computing low-degree polynomials\, for the compu tational hardness of the latter task\, which will in turn give evidence th at better-than-Glauber general-purpose sampling is also hard.\n \n Time perm itting\, I may discuss ongoing work on generalizations in two directions: first\, to the analogous question for Potts models\, and second\, to the a nalogous question for models on graphs and associated strategies for quiet planting using random lifts.\n DTSTART:20240418T153000Z DTEND:20240418T163000Z LOCATION:Room 920\, Burnside Hall\, CA\, QC\, Montreal\, H3A 0B9\, 805 rue Sherbrooke Ouest SUMMARY:Tim Kunisky (Yale University) URL:/mathstat/channels/event/tim-kunisky-yale-universi ty-356812 END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR